Suncorp Group Ltd

SUN: XASX (AUS)
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Morningstar Rating for Stocks Fair Value Economic Moat Capital Allocation
A$82.20LjdfWntbxrb

Suncorp: Positive Outlook as Rate Increases and Investment Income Outpace Claims Inflation

We increase our fiscal 2024 profit forecast 4% after no-moat Suncorp provided a mostly positive update. Gross written premium, or GWP, growth ahead of the previous 10% guidance; natural hazard cost allowances unchanged; investment income benefiting from higher cash rates; and full-year margins expected to be at the midpoint of the 10%-12% guidance range. However, the short-term tailwinds are insufficiently material to move our AUD 13.50 per share fair value estimate.

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