DHL Group

DHL: XETR (DEU)

Morningstar Rating for Stocks	Fair Value	Economic Moat	Capital Allocation
	€49.00	Hfxrhy	Vfphsmbm

DHL's Express Volumes Bouncing Along the Bottom, but Hints of B2B Improvement Emerging

Matthew Young

Aug 7, 2024

Business Strategy and Outlook

DHL Group is the leading postal operator in Europe, among the top three international express package carriers, and the world's largest air and ocean forwarder. Its legacy German postal operations (12% of revenue) face secular demand declines and are heavily regulated. However, we expect growth in the DHL segments and growth in the German (and international-domestic) parcel delivery operations to continue to offset declines in traditional mail-related activity (on average) over the freight cycle, and despite an overall soft freight and logistics backdrop in 2023 and into first-half 2024.

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