Biotech Fans Could Have a Hangover

This corner of the health-care market could be poised to fall further than others.

Securities In This Article
Invesco Global Opportunities A
(OPGIX)
Fidelity Capital Appreciation
(FDCAX)
Nektar Therapeutics
(NKTR)
Eventide Gilead N
(ETGLX)
Gilead Sciences Inc
(GILD)

Scientific breakthroughs can boost stock prices, but they can't immunize them from sell-offs. That's worth keeping in mind as biotech and pharmaceutical stocks, spurred on by the promise of innovations in genetic therapy, continue to boom. When markets go south, valuations matter, and with the all-cap Nasdaq Biotechnology Index (roughly split 80/20 between biotech and pharma) recently trading at a trailing 12-month average price/earnings ratio near 30, versus the Russell 3000 Growth Index's 22, this corner of the market could be poised to fall further than others. The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index's 18.2% plunge from early March to mid-April of 2014 was nearly 15 percentage points worse than the Russell index's. As biotech has enjoyed a remarkable rally, we sought some funds with at least a fifth of their portfolios in biotech and pharma combined.

Among funds in the Morningstar 500 without a health-care mandate,

Moving down the market-cap spectrum, mid-growth fund

World-stock fund Oppenheimer Global Opportunities OPGIX also has a 23% combined stake in biotech and pharma, as of March 2015, 15 percentage points more than the MSCI All-Country World Index. Nearly half of the fund's exposure is in top holding Nektar Therapeutics NKTR, a domestic small-cap firm. Big sector bets and a preference for smaller-cap firms are nothing new for longtime manager Frank Jennings. Still, the fund's position in Nektar is larger than usual, which is a concern. It suggests that Jennings' prior attempts to reduce the fund's volatility, consistently among the category's highest, have come to an end. That, along with succession risk, recently led to a downgrade in the fund's Morningstar Analyst Rating to Neutral from Bronze.

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About the Author

Alec Lucas

Director of Manager Research
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Alec Lucas is director of manager research, active funds research, for Morningstar Research Services LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. He is a voting member of the Morningstar Medalist Ratings Committee for U.S. and international fixed-income strategies, covers fixed-income strategies from asset managers such as Baird and American Funds.

Lucas is also active in parent research. He is a voting member of the U.S. parent ratings committee and previously served as the lead analyst for Franklin Templeton, Capital Group, and Vanguard, among other firms.

Lucas was a strategist on Morningstar's equity strategies team prior to assuming his current role in June 2022. He covered equity strategies from asset managers such as Primecap and American Funds and received the 2019 Citywire Professional Buyer Rising Star Award.

Before joining Morningstar in 2013, Lucas worked as a minister as well as a professor for Loyola University Chicago, among other institutions. From 2010 to 2011, he was a Fulbright Scholar at the University of Heidelberg.

Lucas holds bachelor's degrees in philosophy and classics from the University of Missouri-Columbia, where he graduated summa cum laude and with departmental honors, and a Master of Divinity, summa cum laude, from Trinity International University. He also holds a doctorate in theology, with distinction, from Loyola University Chicago and has published several articles and one book within that field.

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