Kellanova Co K

Morningstar Rating

Company Report

Kellanova's Independent Days are Numbered, as Its Marriage With Privately Held Mars Looms

After untangling its operations in October 2023, Kellanova has centered its strategic playbook largely on the faster-growing global snacking category, which accounts for more than half its sales. The attractiveness of this exposure wasn't lost on privately held Mars (which owns brands such as M&Ms, Twix, and Snickers), as it now intends to bring Kellanova's snacking brands under its umbrella in a nearly $36 billion deal. The combined firm would sit as one of the leading operators in the packaged food space, with $60 billion-$70 billion in annual sales and a portfolio of 17 billion-dollar brands. But despite the opportunity to buoy sales, we note this deal runs in stark contrast to efforts across the industry the past several years to slim down to unlock the benefits of focus. As such, we wouldn’t be surprised if Mars ultimately opted to shed some ancillary brands in time, such as Morningstar Farms.

Price vs Fair Value

K is trading at a 884% premium.
Price
$80.78
Fair Value
$98.10
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
$221.79
5-Star Price
$97.25
Economic Moat
Vmnfny
Capital Allocation
Zznggndz

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

The benefits of enhanced scale and stepped-up negotiating leverage should lift the combined firms' sales and profit trajectory once the deal with Mars' is sealed.

Bears

The rapid evolution of consumer preferences could weigh on Kellanova's volume growth prospects.

News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
Day Range
52-Week Range
Bid/Ask
/
Market Cap
Volume/Avg
/

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
21.09
Price/Sales
2.43
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
2.79%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
2.82%
Total Yield
2.96%

Company Profile

Following its split from the North American cereal business in October 2023, Kellanova (previously the global snacking arm of Kellogg) has operated as a leading global manufacturer and marketer of salty snacks, snack bars, frozen breakfast fare, meat alternatives, and other packaged foods. Its offerings are manufactured in around 20 countries and marketed in more than 180 countries. Its product mix includes well-known brands such as Pringles, Cheez-It, Rice Krispies Treats, Pop-Tarts, Eggo, Nutri-Grain, and MorningStar Farms. Sales beyond its home turf account for about half of Kellanova's consolidated sales base. Mars is slated to acquire the newly independent business in a nearly $36 billion deal in the first half of calendar 2025.
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Packaged Foods
Stock Style Box
Mid Core
Total Number of Employees
23,000

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
K
CPB
NSRGY
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
21.0915.9718.13
Price/Book Value
8.363.887.10
Price/Sales
2.431.542.55
Price/Cash Flow
15.3111.2715.07
Price/Earnings
K
CPB
NSRGY

Financial Strength

Metric
K
CPB
NSRGY
Quick Ratio
0.400.210.49
Current Ratio
0.730.610.85
Interest Coverage
3.874.028.30
Quick Ratio
K
CPB
NSRGY

Profitability

Metric
K
CPB
NSRGY
Return on Assets (Normalized)
7.08%6.91%9.83%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
33.31%24.38%36.95%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
12.47%11.56%14.65%
Return on Assets
K
CPB
NSRGY

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