Stellantis NV STLAM

Morningstar Rating
€12.12 +0.21 (1.75%)
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Company Report

Stellantis: Corrective Action in North America Larger Than Expected; Reduce Fair Value to EUR 28.50

Stellantis has significantly reduced the outlook for its full-year results, now expecting its adjusted operating income margin to be between 5.5% and 7.0% versus prior guidance of double-digit margins. While we believed that its double-digit margin target was too challenging to achieve, we underestimated the extent of the miss. Despite keeping our forecasts from 2025 onward largely unchanged the free cash flow turnaround, so far in 2024 alone, from around EUR 500 million to more than negative EUR 6 billion, is meaningful to our fair value estimates. Thus, we reduce our fair value estimates to EUR 28.50 per share/$31 per ADR from EUR 32 per share/$34.50 per ADR.

Price vs Fair Value

STLAM is trading at a 638% premium.
Price
€12.12
Fair Value
€97.60
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
€64.21
5-Star Price
€96.30
Economic Moat
Zfgq
Capital Allocation
Rxcslqnw

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Stellantis’ strategic decision to go with multienergy over BEV native platforms makes it more flexible through a slower-than-expected EV transition. A higher proportion of ICE vehicles for longer supports double-digit operating margin profitability.

Bears

Higher-than-usual industrywide pricing power following the covid pandemic was responsible for double-digit operating margins, not structural improvements. Margins will follow the usual cyclicality from the peak in 2023.

News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
€11.91
Day Range
€11.8112.28
52-Week Range
€11.7627.35
Bid/Ask
€12.05 / €12.20
Market Cap
€35.02 Bil
Volume/Avg
18.1 Mil / 12.9 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
2.33
Price/Sales
0.21
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
12.79%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
12.79%
Total Yield
23.32%

Company Profile

Stellantis was created out of the merger of US-based Fiat Chrysler Automobiles, or FCA, and French-based Peugeot, or PSA, in January 2021, resulting in the fourth-largest automotive original equipment manufacturer, or OEM, by vehicle sales. In 2023 it sold 6.4 million vehicles, 44% and 30% in Europe and North America, respectively. North America is the most profitable region, contributing 53% of operating income. Its brands include Fiat, Jeep, Chrysler, Ram, Peugeot, Citroen, Opel, Alfa Romeo, and Maserati.
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Auto Manufacturers
Stock Style Box
Large Value
Total Number of Employees
258,275

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
STLAM
MBGAF
VWAGY
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
2.334.773.17
Price/Book Value
0.440.700.31
Price/Sales
0.210.400.15
Price/Cash Flow
1.643.221.08
Price/Earnings
STLAM
MBGAF
VWAGY

Financial Strength

Metric
STLAM
MBGAF
VWAGY
Quick Ratio
0.780.880.87
Current Ratio
1.141.321.14
Interest Coverage
10.0028.2139.74
Quick Ratio
STLAM
MBGAF
VWAGY

Profitability

Metric
STLAM
MBGAF
VWAGY
Return on Assets (Normalized)
7.32%4.85%2.74%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
18.51%13.99%10.34%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
12.47%7.07%4.46%
Return on Assets
STLAM
MBGAF
VWAGY

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