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Bayerische Motoren Werke AG BMW

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Stock XETR Rating as of
€81.14 +2.60 (3.31%)
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As of Delayed Price Closed

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BMW: Supply Chain Woes Result in Profit Warning; Fair Value Estimate Reduced

Narrow-moat BMW has lowered its sales and profit guidance for 2024. The outsourced Continental integrated braking systems in over 1.5 million BMW vehicles will require repairing or replacing, which will cost the company a "high three-digit million (euro) amount" for the third quarter. Demand in China also continues to be muted and increased competition in motorcycles is hitting price realization and sales volumes. While the warranty costs of the brake system recall are a one-off, the update on the Chinese market has resulted in a reduction in our 2025 growth outlook as well. We reduce our fair value estimate to EUR 154 per share from EUR 166 and to $52 per ADR from $59.

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Price vs Fair Value

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BMW is trading at a 892% premium.
Price
€81.14
Fair Value
€883.00
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
€583.20
5-Star Price
€28.30
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

BMW possesses durable competitive advantages, given the strength and global recognition of the brands, technological leadership in powertrains, and ability to command premium pricing from consumers that regularly rate its vehicles as some of the best to own, resulting in excess returns.

Bears

BMW operates in the highly cyclical, capital-intensive automotive business, where overcapacity restricts pricing and constrains economic profits.

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Trading Information

Previous Close Price
€78.54
Day Range
€78.66–81.28
52-Week Range
€68.58–115.35
Bid/Ask
€0.00 / €81.26
Market Cap
€51.83 Bil
Volume/Avg
1.8 Mil / 1.2 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
5.04
Price/Sales
0.30
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
7.39%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
7.39%
Total Yield
9.81%

Company Profile

In addition to being one of the world's leading premium light-vehicle manufacturers, BMW Group produces BMW motorcycles and provides financial services. Premium light-vehicle brands include BMW, Mini, and ultraluxury brand Rolls-Royce. Operations include 31 production facilities in 15 countries, research and development facilities in 17 countries, and a sales network reaching over 140 countries. In 2023, worldwide sales volume was over 2.5 million automobiles and over 209,000 motorcycles.
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Auto Manufacturers
Stock Style Box
Large Value
Total Number of Employees
154,950
Website
https://www.bmwgroup.com

Competitors

Valuation

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Metric
BMW
MBGAF
VWAGY
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
 5.044.953.36
Price/Book Value
 0.570.720.33
Price/Sales
 0.300.420.16
Price/Cash Flow
 2.383.351.15
Price/Earnings
BMW
MBGAF
VWAGY

Financial Strength

Metric
BMW
MBGAF
VWAGY
Quick Ratio
 0.720.880.87
Current Ratio
 1.101.321.14
Interest Coverage
 23.6028.2139.74
Quick Ratio
BMW
MBGAF
VWAGY

Profitability

Metric
BMW
MBGAF
VWAGY
Return on Assets (Normalized)
 4.42%4.85%2.74%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
 12.55%13.99%10.34%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
 6.03%7.07%4.46%
Return on Assets
BMW
MBGAF
VWAGY

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Morningstar Rating for Stocks
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 Bayerische Motoren Werke AG ADR
BMWYY
DnqqyvqrBtnzvjl$55.6 Bil
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