Tongcheng Travel Holdings Ltd 00780

Morningstar Rating
HK$19.26 +2.44 (14.51%)
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Company Report

Tongcheng Earnings: Revenue Meets Low End of Guidance, but Profitability Improves, Guidance Raised

We keep our fair value estimate at HKD 23 per share for Tongcheng after it reported second-quarter revenue of CNY 4.2 billion, representing a 48% year-on-year increase that met the lower end of its guidance of 48%-52%. However, profitability improved significantly as the operating margin for its core online travel business increased by 160 basis points sequentially to 14.6%. Better profitability was driven by a combination of lower marketing expenses and likely outperformance in air ticketing, where revenue rose 20% year on year, compared with a low-single-digit decline in flight volume during the quarter. Tongcheng also continues to build its international platform as outbound air ticketing volume has increased by over 160% year on year.

Price vs Fair Value

00780 is trading at a 295% premium.
Price
HK$19.26
Fair Value
HK$68.00
Uncertainty
Very High
1-Star Price
HK$35.55
5-Star Price
HK$32.20
Economic Moat
Xfdyz
Capital Allocation
Bvhvnvbr

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Tongcheng has very low penetration of Tier 3 cities and has less than 30% saturation rate in its target market.

Bears

Reopening may not be as smooth as expected, leading to a prolonged slump in travel.

News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
HK$16.82
Day Range
HK$17.2619.58
52-Week Range
HK$12.3822.55
Bid/Ask
HK$19.26 / HK$19.28
Market Cap
HK$44.78 Bil
Volume/Avg
45.5 Mil / 9.6 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
16.52
Price/Sales
2.81
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
0.78%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
0.78%
Total Yield
0.78%

Company Profile

Tongcheng Travel is an online travel agency platform that provides booking services for hotel and ticketing in China. It generated 88% of its revenue from accommodation reservations and transportation ticketing in the third quarter of 2022. The rest came from advertising and in-house software sales. The platform provides both online and offline services in the form of call centers. Tongcheng Travel was formed from the merger of Tongcheng Network and eLong in 2018. It is currently 21.38% owned by Tencent and 20.86% by Trip.com. Tongcheng targets lower-tier cities and as of 2021, 86.7% of its users are from non-first-tier cities in China and 61.7% of new paying users on Weixin were from Tier 3 or below cities in China. The company competes with Trip.com, Alibaba's Fliggy, and Meituan.
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Travel Services
Stock Style Box
Large Core
Total Number of Employees
10,241

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
00780
03690
TCOM
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
16.5248.7618.00
Price/Book Value
2.245.882.22
Price/Sales
2.813.126.13
Price/Cash Flow
13.5120.4321.41
Price/Earnings
00780
03690
TCOM

Financial Strength

Metric
00780
03690
TCOM
Quick Ratio
0.961.541.11
Current Ratio
1.321.811.32
Interest Coverage
12.1917.666.47
Quick Ratio
00780
03690
TCOM

Profitability

Metric
00780
03690
TCOM
Return on Assets (Normalized)
5.30%7.14%7.28%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
9.51%13.40%13.38%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
7.68%9.89%9.26%
Return on Assets
00780
03690
TCOM

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