Capital Spending Cut for Verizon Surprises

Our narrow moat rating and $58 fair value estimate remain intact.

Securities In This Article
Verizon Communications Inc
(VZ)

As the first U.S. wireless carrier to report earnings, we don’t have much context around Verizon’s relative performance, but the numbers look good. The firm added 295,000 net postpaid phone customers, its best third-quarter performance in three years. Customer defections ticked up modestly year over year, but gross additions (primarily customers leaving other carriers and choosing Verizon) picked up more. This dynamic makes sense given that Comcast and Charter are now marketing wireless services. Given Verizon provides the network supporting these offerings, customers switching to the cable giants isn’t a total loss. Also, average revenue per postpaid account increased sequentially for the second consecutive quarter, as more customers migrate to unlimited plans and choose more expensive service tiers. Wireless services revenue growth continues to improve, hitting 2.6% during the quarter.

Wireless profitability also continues to move in the right direction, benefiting from revenue growth and Verizon’s efforts to reduce costs. Importantly, in our view, cost-cutting is showing up primarily in sales and overhead expenses rather than network costs. We expect the cost to operate the wireless network will increase over time as Verizon maintains its leadership position.

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About the Author

Michael Hodel, CFA

Sector Director
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Michael Hodel, CFA, is a sector director, AM Communication Services, for Morningstar*. He covers U.S. telecom service providers and related firms, including AT&T, Verizon, and Comcast. His team covers media companies, global telecom service providers, and owners of telecom infrastructure, such as wireless towers and data centers. The team’s research focuses on the role that evolving networking technologies, consumer habits, and industry structures play in shaping the competitive advantages and disadvantages facing firms under coverage.

Hodel joined Morningstar in 1998, initially serving within the equity data group, responsible for collecting financial information on thousands of firms. Prior to his current position, he spent two years as a portfolio manager for Morningstar Investment Management, LLC. Previously, he served as a technology strategist responsible for telecom research, chair of Morningstar’s Economic Moat Committee, and a senior member of Morningstar’s corporate credit ratings initiative.

Hodel holds a bachelor’s degree in finance, with highest honors, from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. He also holds a master’s degree in business administration from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. He also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation.

* Morningstar Research Services LLC (“Morningstar”) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc

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