Cisco Continues Shift Toward Subscription Revenue

The narrow-moat firm's results were solid, and its fourth quarter forecast is in line with our expectations.

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Cisco Systems Inc
(CSCO)

Cisco’s revenue in the April quarter was $12.5 billion, up 4% year over year and squarely within the company’s previously forecast range of 3%-5% growth as discussed in February. Infrastructure platforms revenue was $7.2 billion, up 2% year over year. Management cited year-over-year growth in switching products in both the data center and campus, with campus growth driven by the 9000 series. The company’s data center business saw strong double-digit growth within the IP segment. Such growth was offset by declining revenue from routers, mostly among products sold to service provider customers. Yet Cisco fared well outside of networking gear, as applications and security revenue rose 19% and 11% year over year, respectively. On the profit front, adjusted gross margin of 63.9% came in at the high end of the firm’s forecast range despite headwinds due to higher component prices, while adjusted operating margin of 31.5% exceeded Cisco’s prior forecast and our expectations.

For the July quarter, Cisco foresees 4%-6% year-over-year revenue growth, but relatively flattish adjusted gross margins and a 100- to 200-basis-point decline in adjusted operating margins on a year-over-year basis. Recent acquisitions of AppDynamics and Broadsoft are expected to cause a relatively higher uptick in operating expenses compared to the prior year.

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About the Author

Brian Colello, CFA

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Brian Colello, CPA, is a strategist, AM Technology, for Morningstar*. He covers semiconductor and hardware companies and supports our equity research-linked Indexes business. Colello was a Director of Technology Equity Research before assuming his current role in 2023.

Before joining Morningstar in 2008, Colello worked in public accounting for KPMG and served as a manager in corporate finance for BMG Music, a subsidiary of Bertelsmann AG.

Colello holds a bachelor’s degree in accounting from Bucknell University. He also holds a master’s degree in business administration from Wake Forest University’s Babcock School of Business. He is also a Certified Public Accountant.

* Morningstar Research Services LLC (“Morningstar”) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc

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