Robust Drug Sales for Johnson & Johnson

We're raising our fair value estimate for the wide-moat firm after results ahead of both our expectations.

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Johnson & Johnson
(JNJ)

Turning to the strength in the quarter, the drug unit continues to post gains led by immunology drug Stelara as well as cancer drugs Imbruvica, Darzalex, and Zytiga, but we expect growth will slow for some of these drugs over the next year. While Stelara’s new indication in Crohn’s disease is driving sales, we expect new competition in psoriasis will slow the drug’s total growth. In oncology, Imbruvica and Darzalex look well-positioned for growth in CLL and multiple myeloma, respectively, as the targeted patient population should grow based on expected successful outcomes in new studies. However, we expect Zytiga will face generic competition in October. On J&J’s largest drug, Remicade, we expect an acceleration from the 11% quarterly decline as biosimilar competition intensifies this year.

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About the Author

Damien Conover, CFA

Director of Equity Research, North America
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Damien Conover, CFA, is director of equity research, North America, for Morningstar*.

Before joining Morningstar in 2007, Conover was an equity research analyst covering the healthcare sector for Raymond James, Bank of Montreal, and Tucker Anthony.

Conover holds bachelor’s and master’s degrees in finance from the University of Wisconsin and was a member of its Applied Security Analysis Program. He also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation.

* Morningstar Research Services LLC (“Morningstar”) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc

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