Unrealized Investment Gains Lift Berkshire's Q3 Results

We do not anticipate making any major changes to our share fair value estimate.

Securities In This Article
Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class A
(BRK.A)
Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class B
(BRK.B)

With wide-moat-rated Berkshire Hathaway's BRK.A third-quarter (and year-to-date) results not varying too widely from our expectations, we do not anticipate making any major changes to our $355,000 ($237) per Class A (B) share fair value estimate in place. That said, our assumptions related to the impact that the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent recession are likely to have on Berkshire's different operating subsidiaries could change as we completely digest the company's most recent results.

Third-quarter (year-to-date) revenue, which includes unrealized and realized gains/losses from Berkshire's investments and derivatives portfolios, increased 24.6% (declined 20.8%) year over year to $94.6 billion ($182.5 billion). Excluding the impact of investment and derivative gains/losses and other adjustments, third-quarter (year-to-date) operating revenue declined 2.6% (4.1%) to $63.0 billion ($180.9 billion).

Operating earnings, exclusive of the impact of investment and derivative gains/losses but including goodwill and intangible asset impairments (including $9.8 billion attributable to Berkshire's 2016 acquisition of Precision Castparts), decreased 32.1% (14.5%) year over year to $5.5 billion ($16.9 billion) during the September quarter (first nine months of 2020). When including the impact of the investment and derivative gains/losses, net earnings increased 82.4% (fell 87.2%) to $30.1 billion (negative $6.7 billion).

Berkshire closed out September with $138.9 billion in cash (after excluding $6.8 billion payable for U.S. Treasuries at the end of the quarter), down from a record $146.6 billion at the end of June, with Berkshire (by our estimates) having around $113 billion in dry powder that could be committed to investments, acquisitions, and share repurchases in the fourth quarter of 2020 (with the company already laying out $2.7 billion for Dominion GT&S in early November). The firm repurchased $9.3 billion worth of its common stock during the third quarter.

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About the Author

Greggory Warren, CFA

Strategist
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Greggory Warren, CFA, is a strategist, AM Financial Services, for Morningstar*. He covers the traditional US- and Canadian-based traditional asset managers, as well as the alternative asset managers and Berkshire Hathaway. Over the course of his career, Warren has covered not only financial services names but companies from the consumer staples and consumer cyclicals sectors, and been involved in portfolio stock selection and management.

Prior to joining Morningstar in 2005, Warren worked as a buy-side equity analyst for more than eight years, covering consumer staples and consumer cyclicals. Before assuming his current role at Morningstar in 2017, Warren covered the financial-services sector as a senior analyst since late 2008. Prior to that time, he covered the non-alcoholic beverage manufacturers and distributors, packaged food firms, food service distributors, and tobacco companies.

Warren holds a bachelor's degree in accounting and English from Augustana College. He also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation and is a member of the CFA Society of Chicago.

During 2014-19, Warren was selected to participate each year on the analyst panel at Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting, asking questions directly of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger. The analyst panel was disbanded ahead of Berkshire’s 2020 annual meeting. Warren also ranked second in the investment services industry in The Wall Street Journal’s annual “Best on the Street” analysts survey in 2013, the last year the survey was conducted.

* Morningstar Research Services LLC (“Morningstar”) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc

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