Unrealized Investment Losses Mar Berkshire's Results

We are leaving our fair value estimate in place for the wide-moat company.

Securities In This Article
Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class A
(BRK.A)
Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class B
(BRK.B)

With wide-moat Berkshire Hathaway's BRK.A/BRK.B first-quarter results being more or less in line with our expectations, we are leaving our $342,500 ($228) per Class A (B) share fair value estimate in place. That said, as we expect to continue to uncover tidbits of information related to the impact that the coronavirus pandemic could have on Berkshire's different operating subsidiaries, we are likely to make adjustments to our near-term assumptions as details become available, which should allow us to make more informed projections for the firm's businesses (and possibly alter our fair value estimate).

First-quarter revenue, which now includes unrealized and realized gains/losses from Berkshire's investments and derivatives portfolios, decreased 111.1% to negative $9.0 billion. Excluding the impact of investment and derivative gains/losses and other adjustments, First-quarter operating revenue increased 1.0% to $61.3 billion. Operating earnings, exclusive of the impact of investment and derivative gains/losses, increased 5.7% year over year to $5.9 billion during the March quarter. When including the impact of the investment and derivative gains/losses, operating earnings fell 453.5% to negative $49.7 billion.

Book value per share, which still serves as a decent proxy for measuring changes in Berkshire's intrinsic value, declined 12.2% sequentially to $228,953 (from $260,906 at the end of December), slightly better than our forecast of $228,293. The company closed out the March quarter with a record $137.3 billion in cash and cash equivalents, up from $128.0 at the end of last year. This left Berkshire with an estimated $112 billion in dry powder that could be committed to investments, acquisitions, and share repurchases. While the company did repurchase $1.6 billion of common stock during the March quarter, the bulk of that took place in February and the total amount was less than the $2.2 billion spent on buybacks during the fourth quarter of 2019.

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About the Author

Greggory Warren, CFA

Strategist
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Greggory Warren, CFA, is a strategist, AM Financial Services, for Morningstar*. He covers the traditional US- and Canadian-based traditional asset managers, as well as the alternative asset managers and Berkshire Hathaway. Over the course of his career, Warren has covered not only financial services names but companies from the consumer staples and consumer cyclicals sectors, and been involved in portfolio stock selection and management.

Prior to joining Morningstar in 2005, Warren worked as a buy-side equity analyst for more than eight years, covering consumer staples and consumer cyclicals. Before assuming his current role at Morningstar in 2017, Warren covered the financial-services sector as a senior analyst since late 2008. Prior to that time, he covered the non-alcoholic beverage manufacturers and distributors, packaged food firms, food service distributors, and tobacco companies.

Warren holds a bachelor's degree in accounting and English from Augustana College. He also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation and is a member of the CFA Society of Chicago.

During 2014-19, Warren was selected to participate each year on the analyst panel at Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting, asking questions directly of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger. The analyst panel was disbanded ahead of Berkshire’s 2020 annual meeting. Warren also ranked second in the investment services industry in The Wall Street Journal’s annual “Best on the Street” analysts survey in 2013, the last year the survey was conducted.

* Morningstar Research Services LLC (“Morningstar”) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc

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