The Kraft Heinz Co KHC

Morningstar Rating
$35.37 +0.57 (1.64%)
View Full Chart

Company Report

Kraft Heinz: Even Amid the Macro and Competitive Malaise, We Think Shares Look Tasty

With shares trading 40% below our $57 fair value estimate and boasting a 4%-5% dividend yield, we think investors should stock up on narrow-moat Kraft Heinz. During the first four years as a combined business, the firm was plagued by an outsize desire to take a hatchet to its cost structure to augment near-term profits and cash flows versus investing for the long term. However, we believe the current regime has been unwavering that cost savings aren’t just intended to aid margins but to fuel spending behind its brands and capabilities.

Price vs Fair Value

KHC is trading within a range we consider fairly valued.
Price
$35.37
Fair Value
$64.00
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
$14.37
5-Star Price
$53.20
Economic Moat
Hmgkn
Capital Allocation
Dmkhdldn

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Tempered exposure to private label (11% now versus 17% in 2019) and enhanced agility in responding to consumer trends should negate any lasting downdraft in Kraft Heinz's volume.

Bears

Inflation stemming from coffee, dairy, meats, wages, and transportation has yet to abate. It's possible Kraft Heinz will eventually struggle to offset the higher costs it's facing through price increases without a volume demise.

News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$34.80
Day Range
$34.9335.74
52-Week Range
$30.6838.96
Bid/Ask
$35.21 / $35.65
Market Cap
$42.77 Bil
Volume/Avg
8.7 Mil / 7.8 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
11.91
Price/Sales
1.65
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
4.52%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
4.52%
Total Yield
5.59%

Company Profile

In July 2015, Kraft merged with Heinz to create the third-largest food and beverage manufacturer in North America behind wide-moats PepsiCo and Nestle and the fifth-largest player in the world. Beyond its namesake brands, the combined firm's portfolio includes Oscar Mayer, Velveeta, and Philadelphia. While the retail channel drives around 85% of its total sales, the firm also operates a growing presence in the foodservice arena. Outside North America, Kraft Heinz's global reach counts a distribution network in Europe and emerging markets that drives about 25% of its consolidated sales base, as its products are sold in more than 190 countries and territories.
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Packaged Foods
Stock Style Box
Mid Value
Total Number of Employees
36,000

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
KHC
CPB
K
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
11.9115.9721.09
Price/Book Value
0.873.888.36
Price/Sales
1.651.542.43
Price/Cash Flow
9.1411.2715.31
Price/Earnings
KHC
CPB
K

Financial Strength

Metric
KHC
CPB
K
Quick Ratio
0.410.210.40
Current Ratio
1.010.610.73
Interest Coverage
3.994.023.87
Quick Ratio
KHC
CPB
K

Profitability

Metric
KHC
CPB
K
Return on Assets (Normalized)
4.09%6.91%7.08%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
7.46%24.38%33.31%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
6.13%11.56%12.47%
Return on Assets
KHC
CPB
K

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