Hotel Property Investments HPI

Morningstar Rating
A$3.74 +0.02 (0.54%)
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Company Report

Corporate Action: Ignore Charter Hall’s Dud Takeover Offer

We recommend rejecting the Charter Hall consortium’s uncompelling takeover offer for no-moat Hotel Property Investments, or HPI, providing this advice is consistent with your individual investing goals. The AUD 3.65 per share all-cash offer price is near the middle of our 3-star band. It represents an insufficient 4% premium to our unchanged AUD 3.50 per share fair value estimate, and a 10% discount to net tangible asset backing.

Price vs Fair Value

HPI is trading at a 462% premium.
Price
A$3.74
Fair Value
A$4.80
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
A$6.46
5-Star Price
A$3.50
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Hotel Property Investments' distribution yield is higher than most Australian REIT peers'.

Bears

Potential changes to Queensland's alcohol regulations could hurt pub profitability and the value of pub real estate.

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
A$3.72
Day Range
A$3.713.74
52-Week Range
A$2.513.80
Bid/Ask
A$3.72 / A$3.74
Market Cap
A$735.22 Mil
Volume/Avg
500,495 / 318,475

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
19.59
Price/Sales
8.87
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
5.08%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
5.08%
Total Yield
5.12%

Company Profile

Hotel Property Investments is an Australian REIT with a portfolio of freehold pub properties primarily in Queensland. Its portfolio is almost exclusively leased to Queensland Venue Co. on triple-net long-term leases where the tenant is responsible for outgoings (except land tax in Queensland), resulting in relatively low maintenance expenses. Most leases also provide for annual rental increases typically at the lower of 4% or two times the average of the last five years consumer price index.
Sector
Real Estate
Industry
REIT - Diversified
Stock Style Box
Small Core
Total Number of Employees

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
HPI
BWP
CIP
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
19.5917.8924.68
Price/Book Value
0.930.990.84
Price/Sales
8.8714.299.36
Price/Cash Flow
19.0819.2821.70
Price/Earnings
HPI
BWP
CIP

Financial Strength

Metric
HPI
BWP
CIP
Quick Ratio
0.040.300.59
Current Ratio
2.330.481.71
Interest Coverage
2.328.051.91
Quick Ratio
HPI
BWP
CIP

Profitability

Metric
HPI
BWP
CIP
Return on Assets (Normalized)
2.86%3.75%1.57%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
4.68%4.76%2.46%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
4.45%4.66%2.93%
Return on Assets
HPI
BWP
CIP

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